CUBE - CubeSmart
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$44.13
DETAILS
HIGH:
$47.00
LOW:
$41.00
MEDIAN:
$43.50
CONSENSUS:
$44.13
UPSIDE:
11.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
27.8x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($2.61) × industrial P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
15.1x
Plain-Language Summary
At $2.61 FFO/share with a 28x industrial REIT multiple, the base-case value is $68.65 per share. Dividend yield: 5.4%. DDM cross-check: $59.27.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$44.13
Analyst Range
$41.00 – $47.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
56%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 5.4% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Wall Street's average price target is $44.13 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 56% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify