AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Centuri Holdings, Inc. as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag CTRI as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Centuri Holdings, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for CTRI comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value CTRI?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. CTRI was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from CTRI's most recent reported fundamentals.

CTRI - Centuri Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $35.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 406.0% above fair value

Current Price $20.41

Bear Case $3.53 82.7% downside ($3.53 - $20.41) / $20.41 = -82.7% $0.25 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $4.03 80.2% downside ($4.03 - $20.41) / $20.41 = -80.2% $0.25 × 16x P/E

Bull Case $4.54 77.8% downside ($4.54 - $20.41) / $20.41 = -77.8% $0.25 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

16.1x

Adjusted EPS

0.25$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 81.6x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.25, the base-case value is $4.03 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $35.00

Analyst Range $33.00 – $36.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 88%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $35.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 88% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

⚠ This stock is 53% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples