Cytek Biosciences, Inc. logo CTKB - Cytek Biosciences, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 1
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.50
LOW: $4.75
MEDIAN: $5.12
CONSENSUS: $5.13
UPSIDE: 27.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 170.6% above fair value
Current Price $4.01
Bear Case $1.17 70.8% downside ($1.17 - $4.01) / $4.01 = -70.8% $0.03 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $1.48 63.0% downside ($1.48 - $4.01) / $4.01 = -63.0% $0.03 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $1.77 55.9% downside ($1.77 - $4.01) / $4.01 = -55.9% $0.03 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
0.03$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 158.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $5.13 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1.48 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $5.13 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 89% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples