CRISPR Therapeutics AG logo CRSP - CRISPR Therapeutics AG

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 14
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $72.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $82.00
LOW: $56.00
MEDIAN: $76.00
CONSENSUS: $72.86
UPSIDE: 52.49%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 47.5% below fair value
Current Price $47.78
Bear Case $77.96 63.2% upside ($77.96 - $47.78) / $47.78 = 63.2% $4.70 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $90.95 90.3% upside ($90.95 - $47.78) / $47.78 = 90.3% $4.70 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $103.94 117.5% upside ($103.94 - $47.78) / $47.78 = 117.5% $4.70 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
4.7$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $72.86 from 38 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $90.95 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $72.86 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 35% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples