CRISPR Therapeutics AG logo CRSP - CRISPR Therapeutics AG

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 14
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $72.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $82.00
LOW: $56.00
MEDIAN: $76.00
CONSENSUS: $72.86
UPSIDE: 56.55%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current EPS × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% above fair value
Current Price $46.54
Bear Case $31.02 33.3% downside ($31.02 - $46.54) / $46.54 = -33.3% EPS continues to decline, 5x multiple
Fair Value $46.53 0.0% upside ($46.53 - $46.54) / $46.54 = -0.0% Current EPS stabilizes, 8x multiple
Bull Case $62.04 33.3% upside ($62.04 - $46.54) / $46.54 = 33.3% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 10x

Adjust Assumptions

7.5x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 9.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Current EPS × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $72.86 from 38 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $46.53 per share.

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Wall Street's average price target is $72.86 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case