Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. logo CRL - Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 24
HOLD 11
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $207.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $220.00
LOW: $185.00
MEDIAN: $214.00
CONSENSUS: $207.50
UPSIDE: 29.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 63.3% above fair value
Current Price $160.30
Bear Case $98.17 38.8% downside ($98.17 - $160.30) / $160.30 = -38.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $98.17 38.8% downside ($98.17 - $160.30) / $160.30 = -38.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $111.93 30.2% downside ($111.93 - $160.30) / $160.30 = -30.2% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 28%
Implied Market Multiple 22.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $207.50 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $98.17 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $207.50 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions