Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. logo CRL - Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 26
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $308.36 DETAILS
HIGH: $357.00
LOW: $219.00
MEDIAN: $326.00
CONSENSUS: $308.36
DOWNSIDE: 2.25%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 214.3% above fair value
Current Price $315.45
Bear Case $76.11 75.9% downside ($76.11 - $315.45) / $315.45 = -75.9% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $100.36 68.2% downside ($100.36 - $315.45) / $315.45 = -68.2% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $121.63 61.4% downside ($121.63 - $315.45) / $315.45 = -61.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 31%
Implied Market Multiple 32.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 17.6% vs our 5.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $100.36 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $308.36
Analyst Range $219.00 – $357.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 67%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $308.36 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions