Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. logo CRL - Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 26
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $267.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $300.00
LOW: $219.00
MEDIAN: $273.00
CONSENSUS: $267.60
DOWNSIDE: 7.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 208.5% above fair value
Current Price $288.50
Bear Case $72.64 74.8% downside ($72.64 - $288.50) / $288.50 = -74.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $93.51 67.6% downside ($93.51 - $288.50) / $288.50 = -67.6% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $111.52 61.3% downside ($111.52 - $288.50) / $288.50 = -61.3% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.2%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 30%
Implied Market Multiple 30.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 16.6% vs our 5.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $93.51 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $267.60
Analyst Range $219.00 – $300.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 65%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $267.60 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 65% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions