Carter's, Inc. logo CRI - Carter's, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 8
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $37.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $41.00
LOW: $33.00
MEDIAN: $38.00
CONSENSUS: $37.33
UPSIDE: 0.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.2% below fair value
Current Price $37.23
Bear Case $63.63 70.9% upside ($63.63 - $37.23) / $37.23 = 70.9% $6.24 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $79.53 113.6% upside ($79.53 - $37.23) / $37.23 = 113.6% $6.24 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $95.44 156.3% upside ($95.44 - $37.23) / $37.23 = 156.3% $6.24 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
6.24$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $37.33 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $79.53 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 141%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $37.33 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 151% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples