Carter's Inc. logo CRI - Carter's Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 9
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $40.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $41.00
CONSENSUS: $40.33
UPSIDE: 18.68%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.7% below fair value
Current Price $33.98
Bear Case $74.88 120.4% upside ($74.88 - $33.98) / $33.98 = 120.4% $6.24 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $93.60 175.4% upside ($93.60 - $33.98) / $33.98 = 175.4% $6.24 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $112.32 230.5% upside ($112.32 - $33.98) / $33.98 = 230.5% $6.24 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
6.24$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.24, the base-case value is $93.60 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $40.33
Analyst Range $38.00 – $42.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 132%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 141%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $40.33 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 132% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples