Carter's Inc. logo CRI - Carter's Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 9
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $40.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $41.00
CONSENSUS: $40.33
UPSIDE: 0.35%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.7% below fair value
Current Price $40.19
Bear Case $74.34 85.0% upside ($74.34 - $40.19) / $40.19 = 85.0% $6.24 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $84.96 111.4% upside ($84.96 - $40.19) / $40.19 = 111.4% $6.24 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $95.58 137.8% upside ($95.58 - $40.19) / $40.19 = 137.8% $6.24 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
6.24$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $40.33 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $84.96 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 141%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $40.33 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 148% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples