CR - Crane Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$246.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$253.00
LOW:
$242.00
MEDIAN:
$245.00
CONSENSUS:
$246.67
UPSIDE:
17.87%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
20.4x
6.26$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
33.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.26, the base-case value is $127.89 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (28 analysts)
$246.67
Analyst Range
$242.00 – $253.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
48%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $246.67 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 48% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples