Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. logo CQP - Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Sell DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 10
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $68.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $68.67
UPSIDE: 0.85%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.1% below fair value
Current Price $68.09
Bear Case $88.00 29.2% upside ($88.00 - $68.09) / $68.09 = 29.2% $6.17 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $110.00 61.6% upside ($110.00 - $68.09) / $68.09 = 61.6% $6.17 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $132.00 93.9% upside ($132.00 - $68.09) / $68.09 = 93.9% $6.17 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.8x
6.17$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.17, the base-case value is $110.00 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $68.67
Analyst Range $65.00 – $75.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 60%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $68.67 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 60% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples