CPRT - Copart, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$37.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$45.00
LOW:
$25.00
MEDIAN:
$39.00
CONSENSUS:
$37.33
UPSIDE:
41.56%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.3%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (5% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
16.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
6.1%
vs our 5.3% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $25.11 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (23 analysts)
$37.33
Analyst Range
$25.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
33%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $37.33 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions