CPRT - Copart, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$46.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$48.00
LOW:
$45.00
MEDIAN:
$46.50
CONSENSUS:
$46.50
UPSIDE:
37.61%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
7.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (7% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
23.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $46.50 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.48 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $46.50 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 43% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions