Capri Holdings Limited logo CPRI - Capri Holdings Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 27
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.63 DETAILS
HIGH: $32.00
LOW: $21.00
MEDIAN: $24.00
CONSENSUS: $25.63
UPSIDE: 38.69%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 65.7% below fair value
Current Price $18.48
Bear Case $43.06 133.0% upside ($43.06 - $18.48) / $18.48 = 133.0% $4.60 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $53.82 191.2% upside ($53.82 - $18.48) / $18.48 = 191.2% $4.60 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $64.58 249.5% upside ($64.58 - $18.48) / $18.48 = 249.5% $4.60 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.6$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 4.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $25.63 from 53 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.82 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $25.63 (from 53 analysts). Our estimate is 169% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples