CPK - Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$142.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$142.00
LOW:
$142.00
MEDIAN:
$142.00
CONSENSUS:
$142.00
UPSIDE:
7.04%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.1x
5.97$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
22.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.97, the base-case value is $96.37 per share. DDM cross-check: $288.16.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$142.00
Analyst Range
$142.00 – $142.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
32%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $288.16 (above our primary estimate by 199%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $142.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples