Chesapeake Utilities Corporation logo CPK - Chesapeake Utilities Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $140.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $150.00
LOW: $134.00
MEDIAN: $136.00
CONSENSUS: $140.00
UPSIDE: 6.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 36.5% above fair value
Current Price $131.53
Bear Case $84.33 35.9% downside ($84.33 - $131.53) / $131.53 = -35.9% $5.97 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $96.37 26.7% downside ($96.37 - $131.53) / $131.53 = -26.7% $5.97 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $108.42 17.6% downside ($108.42 - $131.53) / $131.53 = -17.6% $5.97 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.1x
5.97$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 22.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.97, the base-case value is $96.37 per share. DDM cross-check: $288.16.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $140.00
Analyst Range $134.00 – $150.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 31%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $288.16 (above our primary estimate by 199%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $140.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples