CPK - Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$142.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$142.00
LOW:
$142.00
MEDIAN:
$142.00
CONSENSUS:
$142.00
UPSIDE:
12.24%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.1x
6.01$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $142.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $106.02 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $353.28 (above our primary estimate by 264%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $142.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples