Core Scientific, Inc. logo CORZ - Core Scientific, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $33.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $40.00
LOW: $29.00
MEDIAN: $32.00
CONSENSUS: $33.57
UPSIDE: 47.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 72.0% above fair value
Current Price $22.75
Bear Case $11.08 51.3% downside ($11.08 - $22.75) / $22.75 = -51.3% $0.20 × 27x P/E
Fair Value $13.23 41.8% downside ($13.23 - $22.75) / $22.75 = -41.8% $0.20 × 32x P/E
Bull Case $15.38 32.4% downside ($15.38 - $22.75) / $22.75 = -32.4% $0.20 × 38x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

32.2x
0.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 113.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $33.57 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $13.23 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $33.57 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples