Core Scientific, Inc. logo CORZ - Core Scientific, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $31.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $37.00
LOW: $29.00
MEDIAN: $30.00
CONSENSUS: $31.60
UPSIDE: 25.10%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 98.3% above fair value
Current Price $25.26
Bear Case $10.66 57.8% downside ($10.66 - $25.26) / $25.26 = -57.8% $0.20 × 27x P/E
Fair Value $12.74 49.6% downside ($12.74 - $25.26) / $25.26 = -49.6% $0.20 × 32x P/E
Bull Case $14.81 41.4% downside ($14.81 - $25.26) / $25.26 = -41.4% $0.20 × 38x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

32.2x
0.2$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 126.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $31.60 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $12.74 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $31.60 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 80% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples