Mr. Cooper Group Inc. logo COOP - Mr. Cooper Group Inc.

Inactive Ticker COOP is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $118.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $176.00
LOW: $87.00
MEDIAN: $110.00
CONSENSUS: $118.43
DOWNSIDE: 43.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 37.9% above fair value
Current Price $210.79
Bear Case $106.99 49.2% downside ($106.99 - $210.79) / $210.79 = -49.2% ROTCE 10.4% → 1.03x TBV
Fair Value $152.85 27.5% downside ($152.85 - $210.79) / $210.79 = -27.5% ROTCE 13.9% → 1.59x TBV
Bull Case $198.71 5.7% downside ($198.71 - $210.79) / $210.79 = -5.7% ROTCE 16.0% → 1.92x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

13.9%
10.2%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (13.9%) vs. cost of equity (10.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.8x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 13.9% vs. 10.2% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.59x on $75.21 tangible book, implying $152.85 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $118.43
Analyst Range $87.00 – $176.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 29%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $118.43 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 29% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly