The Cooper Companies, Inc. logo COO - The Cooper Companies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $93.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $73.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $93.86
UPSIDE: 50.06%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.5% below fair value
Current Price $62.55
Bear Case $59.92 4.2% downside ($59.92 - $62.55) / $62.55 = -4.2% $3.98 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $74.91 19.8% upside ($74.91 - $62.55) / $62.55 = 19.8% $3.98 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $89.89 43.7% upside ($89.89 - $62.55) / $62.55 = 43.7% $3.98 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.2x
3.98$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $93.86 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $74.91 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 113%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $93.86 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 27% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples