Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. logo COKE - Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 0
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 38.8% above fair value
Current Price $198.49
Bear Case $122.58 38.2% downside ($122.58 - $198.49) / $198.49 = -38.2% $6.81 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $143.01 28.0% downside ($143.01 - $198.49) / $198.49 = -28.0% $6.81 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $163.44 17.7% downside ($163.44 - $198.49) / $198.49 = -17.7% $6.81 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
6.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 29.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.81, the base-case value is $143.01 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples