Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. logo COKE - Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 10.9% above fair value
Current Price $175.53
Bear Case $135.63 22.7% downside ($135.63 - $175.53) / $175.53 = -22.7% $7.54 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $158.24 9.9% downside ($158.24 - $175.53) / $175.53 = -9.9% $7.54 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $180.84 3.0% upside ($180.84 - $175.53) / $175.53 = 3.0% $7.54 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
7.54$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.54, the base-case value is $158.24 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples