Coda Octopus Group, Inc. logo CODA - Coda Octopus Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 1
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $14.00
UPSIDE: 28.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 1.8% above fair value
Current Price $10.92
Bear Case $9.45 13.5% downside ($9.45 - $10.92) / $10.92 = -13.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $10.73 1.7% downside ($10.73 - $10.92) / $10.92 = -1.7% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $11.85 8.6% upside ($11.85 - $10.92) / $10.92 = 8.6% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 16.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $10.73 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions