CNP - CenterPoint Energy, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$44.38
DETAILS
HIGH:
$50.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$44.00
CONSENSUS:
$44.38
UPSIDE:
10.07%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
1.6$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
25.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.60, the base-case value is $25.60 per share. DDM cross-check: $51.75.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$44.38
Analyst Range
$40.00 – $50.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
42%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $51.75 (above our primary estimate by 102%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $44.38 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 42% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples