CenterPoint Energy, Inc. logo CNP - CenterPoint Energy, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $44.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $49.00
LOW: $37.00
MEDIAN: $44.00
CONSENSUS: $44.00
UPSIDE: 2.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 37.6% above fair value
Current Price $42.83
Bear Case $27.23 36.4% downside ($27.23 - $42.83) / $42.83 = -36.4% $1.60 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $31.12 27.3% downside ($31.12 - $42.83) / $42.83 = -27.3% $1.60 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $35.01 18.3% downside ($35.01 - $42.83) / $42.83 = -18.3% $1.60 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.6$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 26.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $44.00 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.12 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $49.73 (above our primary estimate by 94%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $44.00 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 42% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples