AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Core & Main, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag CNM as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Core & Main, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for CNM is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value CNM?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from CNM's most recent reported fundamentals.

CNM - Core & Main, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $64.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild

Trading 13.2% above fair value

Current Price $47.27

Bear Case $33.78 28.5% downside ($33.78 - $47.27) / $47.27 = -28.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $41.76 11.7% downside ($41.76 - $47.27) / $47.27 = -11.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $48.68 3.0% upside ($48.68 - $47.27) / $47.27 = 3.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

5.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%

Implied Market Multiple 18.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $64.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $41.76 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $64.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 43% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions