AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Core & Main, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag CNM as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Core & Main, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for CNM is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value CNM?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from CNM's most recent reported fundamentals.

CNM - Core & Main, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $24.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 33.5% above fair value

Current Price $45.24

Bear Case $27.41 39.4% downside ($27.41 - $45.24) / $45.24 = -39.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $33.88 25.1% downside ($33.88 - $45.24) / $45.24 = -25.1% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $39.49 12.7% downside ($39.49 - $45.24) / $45.24 = -12.7% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

5.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%

Implied Market Multiple 18.1x

Market is pricing in (growth) 7.6% vs our 5.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $24.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $33.88 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $24.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 51% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions