CMRE - Costamare Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$13.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$14.00
LOW:
$12.00
MEDIAN:
$13.00
CONSENSUS:
$13.00
DOWNSIDE:
20.83%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
21.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (22% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
47%
Implied Market Multiple
6.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $161.96 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $13.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 1432% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions