The Clorox Company logo CLX - The Clorox Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 21
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $100.11 DETAILS
HIGH: $127.00
LOW: $83.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $100.11
UPSIDE: 17.78%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 4.0% above fair value
Current Price $85.00
Bear Case $67.34 20.8% downside ($67.34 - $85.00) / $85.00 = -20.8% $4.81 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $81.77 3.8% downside ($81.77 - $85.00) / $85.00 = -3.8% $4.81 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $96.20 13.2% upside ($96.20 - $85.00) / $85.00 = 13.2% $4.81 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
4.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.81, the base-case value is $81.77 per share. DDM cross-check: $75.10.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $100.11
Analyst Range $83.00 – $127.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 18%

Warnings

The company pays out 103% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples