Climb Global Solutions, Inc. logo CLMB - Climb Global Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.6% below fair value
Current Price $27.94
Bear Case $17.26 38.2% downside ($17.26 - $27.94) / $27.94 = -38.2% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $30.92 10.7% upside ($30.92 - $27.94) / $27.94 = 10.7% 21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $48.47 73.5% upside ($48.47 - $27.94) / $27.94 = 73.5% 27% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

21.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (21% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 47%
Implied Market Multiple 44.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 19.6% vs our 21.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 21% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $30.92 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions