Climb Global Solutions, Inc. logo CLMB - Climb Global Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 17.1% below fair value
Current Price $25.73
Bear Case $17.32 32.7% downside ($17.32 - $25.73) / $25.73 = -32.7% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $31.02 20.6% upside ($31.02 - $25.73) / $25.73 = 20.6% 21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $48.64 89.0% upside ($48.64 - $25.73) / $25.73 = 89.0% 27% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

21.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (21% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 47%
Implied Market Multiple 40.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 18.4% vs our 21.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 21% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $31.02 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions