Clean Harbors, Inc. logo CLH - Clean Harbors, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 17
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $303.30 DETAILS
HIGH: $350.00
LOW: $248.00
MEDIAN: $309.00
CONSENSUS: $303.30
UPSIDE: 5.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 87.5% above fair value
Current Price $286.92
Bear Case $104.45 63.6% downside ($104.45 - $286.92) / $286.92 = -63.6% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $153.00 46.7% downside ($153.00 - $286.92) / $286.92 = -46.7% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $198.60 30.8% downside ($198.60 - $286.92) / $286.92 = -30.8% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 42.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $303.30 from 28 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $153.00 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $303.30 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions