Clean Harbors, Inc. logo CLH - Clean Harbors, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 17
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $356.89 DETAILS
HIGH: $390.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $356.00
CONSENSUS: $356.89
UPSIDE: 11.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 49.4% above fair value
Current Price $320.06
Bear Case $133.85 58.2% downside ($133.85 - $320.06) / $320.06 = -58.2% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $214.17 33.1% downside ($214.17 - $320.06) / $320.06 = -33.1% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $297.82 6.9% downside ($297.82 - $320.06) / $320.06 = -6.9% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 36.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 16.8% vs our 12.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $214.17 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (28 analysts) $356.89
Analyst Range $315.00 – $390.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 40%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $356.89 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions