Clean Harbors, Inc. logo CLH - Clean Harbors, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 17
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $353.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $390.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $350.00
CONSENSUS: $353.00
UPSIDE: 11.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 86.3% above fair value
Current Price $315.25
Bear Case $114.71 63.6% downside ($114.71 - $315.25) / $315.25 = -63.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $169.17 46.3% downside ($169.17 - $315.25) / $315.25 = -46.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $222.33 29.5% downside ($222.33 - $315.25) / $315.25 = -29.5% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 35.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 16.6% vs our 9.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $169.17 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (28 analysts) $353.00
Analyst Range $315.00 – $390.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 52%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $353.00 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions