CLB - Core Laboratories N.V.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$25.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$32.00
LOW:
$17.00
MEDIAN:
$26.00
CONSENSUS:
$25.00
UPSIDE:
75.81%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
13.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
37.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on free cash flow under different commodity price assumptions and a valuation multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $25.00 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.17 per share.
Warnings
If oil drops to $60/barrel, the stock could fall -100%. Check whether the company can survive at low prices and still pay its dividend.
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $25.00 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 90% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential