CLB - Core Laboratories N.V.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$21.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$21.00
LOW:
$21.00
MEDIAN:
$21.00
CONSENSUS:
$21.00
UPSIDE:
66.40%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
13.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.7x
Plain-Language Summary
At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $5.20 per share. Range: $1.86 (bear) to $9.39 (bull).
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (37 analysts)
$21.00
Analyst Range
$21.00 – $21.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
75%
Warnings
If oil drops to $60/barrel, the stock could fall -85%. Check whether the company can survive at low prices and still pay its dividend.
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.00 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential