Core Laboratories N.V. logo CLB - Core Laboratories N.V.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 17
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $21.00
LOW: $21.00
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $21.00
UPSIDE: 111.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 89.9% above fair value
Current Price $9.91
Bear Case $1.87 81.2% downside ($1.87 - $9.91) / $9.91 = -81.2% FCF $23M × 10x
Fair Value $5.22 47.3% downside ($5.22 - $9.91) / $9.91 = -47.3% FCF $29M × 13x
Bull Case $9.43 4.8% downside ($9.43 - $9.91) / $9.91 = -4.8% FCF $36M × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

75.0$/bbl
13.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.3x

Plain-Language Summary

At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $5.22 per share. Range: $1.87 (bear) to $9.43 (bull).

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $21.00
Analyst Range $21.00 – $21.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 75%

Warnings

⚠ Debt per share ($3.08) is significant relative to the stock price. Even small changes in the debt figure meaningfully shift what each share is worth.
⚠ If oil drops to $60/barrel, the stock could fall -81%. Check whether the company can survive at low prices and still pay its dividend.
ℹ Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $21.00 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
  • Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
  • Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential