CI - Cigna Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$338.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$400.00
LOW:
$302.00
MEDIAN:
$330.00
CONSENSUS:
$338.33
UPSIDE:
22.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.2x
22.17$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $22.17, the base-case value is $314.20 per share. DDM cross-check: $898.13.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (39 analysts)
$338.33
Analyst Range
$302.00 – $400.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
7%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $898.13 (above our primary estimate by 186%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples