Cigna Corporation logo CI - Cigna Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 29
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $340.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $400.00
LOW: $302.00
MEDIAN: $335.00
CONSENSUS: $340.17
UPSIDE: 18.84%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 30.2% below fair value
Current Price $286.24
Bear Case $328.10 14.6% upside ($328.10 - $286.24) / $286.24 = 14.6% $31.05 × 11x P/E
Fair Value $410.12 43.3% upside ($410.12 - $286.24) / $286.24 = 43.3% $31.05 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $492.15 71.9% upside ($492.15 - $286.24) / $286.24 = 71.9% $31.05 × 17x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.2x
31.05$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $340.17 from 39 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $410.12 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 40%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Dividend-based valuation: $2107.81 (above our primary estimate by 379%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $340.17 (from 39 analysts). Our estimate is 29% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples