Coherus Oncology, Inc. logo CHRS - Coherus Oncology, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $6.02 DETAILS
HIGH: $11.00
LOW: $1.05
MEDIAN: $6.00
CONSENSUS: $6.02
UPSIDE: 273.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 88.8% below fair value
Current Price $1.61
Bear Case $12.36 667.7% upside ($12.36 - $1.61) / $1.61 = 667.7% $1.23 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $14.42 795.7% upside ($14.42 - $1.61) / $1.61 = 795.7% $1.23 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $16.48 923.6% upside ($16.48 - $1.61) / $1.61 = 923.6% $1.23 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
1.23$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 1.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $6.02 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $14.42 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $6.02 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 186% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples