AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Church & Dwight Co., Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag CHD as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Church & Dwight Co., Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for CHD is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value CHD?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from CHD's most recent reported fundamentals.

CHD - Church & Dwight Co., Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $103.80 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 19.3% above fair value

Current Price $96.25

Bear Case $66.43 31.0% downside ($66.43 - $96.25) / $96.25 = -31.0% $4.16 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $80.66 16.2% downside ($80.66 - $96.25) / $96.25 = -16.2% $4.16 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $94.89 1.4% downside ($94.89 - $96.25) / $96.25 = -1.4% $4.16 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

17.0x

Adjusted EPS

4.16$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $103.80 from 34 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $80.66 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 38%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $26.01 (below our primary estimate by 63%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $103.80 (from 34 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples