Celsius Holdings, Inc. logo CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 20
HOLD 1
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $55.40 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $55.00
CONSENSUS: $55.40
UPSIDE: 83.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.8% below fair value
Current Price $30.12
Bear Case $28.88 4.1% downside ($28.88 - $30.12) / $30.12 = -4.1% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $53.62 78.0% upside ($53.62 - $30.12) / $30.12 = 78.0% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $84.70 181.2% upside ($84.70 - $30.12) / $30.12 = 181.2% 26% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 46%
Implied Market Multiple 26.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $55.40 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.62 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions