Celsius Holdings, Inc. logo CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $49.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $57.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $48.00
CONSENSUS: $49.67
UPSIDE: 83.15%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 48.0% below fair value
Current Price $27.12
Bear Case $28.11 3.6% upside ($28.11 - $27.12) / $27.12 = 3.6% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $52.19 92.4% upside ($52.19 - $27.12) / $27.12 = 92.4% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $82.43 204.0% upside ($82.43 - $27.12) / $27.12 = 204.0% 26% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 46%
Implied Market Multiple 23.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.3% vs our 20.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $49.67 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.19 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions