Celsius Holdings, Inc. logo CELH - Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $50.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $57.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $49.00
CONSENSUS: $50.25
UPSIDE: 64.22%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.5% below fair value
Current Price $30.60
Bear Case $28.19 7.9% downside ($28.19 - $30.60) / $30.60 = -7.9% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $52.34 71.0% upside ($52.34 - $30.60) / $30.60 = 71.0% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $82.66 170.1% upside ($82.66 - $30.60) / $30.60 = 170.1% 26% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 46%
Implied Market Multiple 26.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 12.9% vs our 20.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $50.25 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.34 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions