Celanese Corporation logo CE - Celanese Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 11
HOLD 22
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $64.82 DETAILS
HIGH: $86.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $63.00
CONSENSUS: $64.82
UPSIDE: 38.15%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.1% below fair value
Current Price $46.92
Bear Case $16.48 64.9% downside ($16.48 - $46.92) / $46.92 = -64.9% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $64.37 37.2% upside ($64.37 - $46.92) / $46.92 = 37.2% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $112.66 140.1% upside ($112.66 - $46.92) / $46.92 = 140.1% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 20.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.6% vs our 11.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $64.82 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $64.37 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions