Celanese Corporation logo CE - Celanese Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 11
HOLD 22
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $65.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $86.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $63.50
CONSENSUS: $65.60
UPSIDE: 25.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.9% below fair value
Current Price $52.39
Bear Case $16.54 68.4% downside ($16.54 - $52.39) / $52.39 = -68.4% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $64.61 23.3% upside ($64.61 - $52.39) / $52.39 = 23.3% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $113.07 115.8% upside ($113.07 - $52.39) / $52.39 = 115.8% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 21.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $65.60 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $64.61 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions