Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. logo CCSI - Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 0
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
DOWNSIDE: 11.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 65.9% below fair value
Current Price $28.18
Bear Case $69.07 145.2% upside ($69.07 - $28.18) / $28.18 = 145.2% $4.51 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $82.50 192.8% upside ($82.50 - $28.18) / $28.18 = 192.8% $4.51 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $95.94 240.5% upside ($95.94 - $28.18) / $28.18 = 240.5% $4.51 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
4.51$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $25.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $82.50 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $25.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 288% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples