Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. logo CCSI - Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 0
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
DOWNSIDE: 35.90%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 58.3% below fair value
Current Price $39.00
Bear Case $78.30 100.8% upside ($78.30 - $39.00) / $39.00 = 100.8% $4.35 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $93.52 139.8% upside ($93.52 - $39.00) / $39.00 = 139.8% $4.35 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $108.75 178.9% upside ($108.75 - $39.00) / $39.00 = 178.9% $4.35 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
4.35$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.35, the base-case value is $93.52 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $25.00
Analyst Range $20.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 274%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $25.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 274% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples