Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. logo CCRN - Cross Country Healthcare, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $11.00
MEDIAN: $12.50
CONSENSUS: $12.50
DOWNSIDE: 5.45%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 51.2% below fair value
Current Price $13.22
Bear Case $21.68 64.0% upside ($21.68 - $13.22) / $13.22 = 64.0% $2.05 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $27.10 105.0% upside ($27.10 - $13.22) / $13.22 = 105.0% $2.05 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $32.52 146.0% upside ($32.52 - $13.22) / $13.22 = 146.0% $2.05 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.05$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.50 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $27.10 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.50 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 146% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples