AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Carnival Corporation & plc's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag CCL as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Carnival Corporation & plc's fair value?

Fair value for CCL is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value CCL?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from CCL's most recent reported fundamentals.

CCL - Carnival Corporation & plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $36.17 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 61.4% below fair value

Current Price $25.98

Bear Case $53.92 107.5% upside ($53.92 - $25.98) / $25.98 = 107.5% $3.59 × 18x P/E

Fair Value $67.39 159.4% upside ($67.39 - $25.98) / $25.98 = 159.4% $3.59 × 22x P/E

Bull Case $80.87 211.3% upside ($80.87 - $25.98) / $25.98 = 211.3% $3.59 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

22.5x

Adjusted EPS

3.59$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $36.17 from 47 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $67.39 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 78%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $36.17 (from 47 analysts). Our estimate is 123% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples