CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. logo CCCS - CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.

Inactive Ticker CCCS is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.14 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $12.14
UPSIDE: 38.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 46.3% above fair value
Current Price $8.75
Bear Case $4.35 50.3% downside ($4.35 - $8.75) / $8.75 = -50.3% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $5.98 31.7% downside ($5.98 - $8.75) / $8.75 = -31.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $7.60 13.2% downside ($7.60 - $8.75) / $8.75 = -13.2% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 45.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.14 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $5.98 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 42571% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $12.14 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 63% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions