CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. logo CCCS - CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.

Inactive Ticker CCCS is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.14 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $12.14
UPSIDE: 38.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 36.1% above fair value
Current Price $8.75
Bear Case $4.68 46.5% downside ($4.68 - $8.75) / $8.75 = -46.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $6.43 26.5% downside ($6.43 - $8.75) / $8.75 = -26.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $8.18 6.5% downside ($8.18 - $8.75) / $8.75 = -6.5% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 31.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 14.9% vs our 10.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $6.43 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $12.14
Analyst Range $9.00 – $15.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 47%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 42571% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $12.14 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 47% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions