CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. logo CCC - CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 10
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $7.00
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $7.00
CONSENSUS: $7.00
DOWNSIDE: 8.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 167.3% above fair value
Current Price $7.67
Bear Case $1.50 80.5% downside ($1.50 - $7.67) / $7.67 = -80.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $2.87 62.6% downside ($2.87 - $7.67) / $7.67 = -62.6% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $4.24 44.7% downside ($4.24 - $7.67) / $7.67 = -44.7% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 44.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 19.8% vs our 10.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $2.87 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (27 analysts) $7.00
Analyst Range $7.00 – $7.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 59%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 42571% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $7.00 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 59% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions