The Chemours Company logo CC - The Chemours Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 10
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $29.50
CONSENSUS: $25.75
UPSIDE: 20.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 54.5% below fair value
Current Price $21.37
Bear Case $37.55 75.7% upside ($37.55 - $21.37) / $21.37 = 75.7% $3.60 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $46.94 119.6% upside ($46.94 - $21.37) / $21.37 = 119.6% $3.60 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $56.32 163.6% upside ($56.32 - $21.37) / $21.37 = 163.6% $3.60 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.6$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $25.75 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $46.94 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $25.75 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 110% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples