The Chemours Company logo CC - The Chemours Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $21.50
UPSIDE: 57.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 27.1% above fair value
Current Price $13.61
Bear Case $8.57 37.0% downside ($8.57 - $13.61) / $13.61 = -37.0% $0.71 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $10.71 21.3% downside ($10.71 - $13.61) / $13.61 = -21.3% $0.71 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $12.85 5.6% downside ($12.85 - $13.61) / $13.61 = -5.6% $0.71 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.71$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.71, the base-case value is $10.71 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $21.50
Analyst Range $16.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 50%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $21.50 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 50% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
⚠ This stock is 53% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples