CBIZ, Inc. logo CBZ - CBIZ, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $37.00
MEDIAN: $39.50
CONSENSUS: $39.50
UPSIDE: 22.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 255.9% above fair value
Current Price $32.23
Bear Case $4.41 86.3% downside ($4.41 - $32.23) / $32.23 = -86.3% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $9.06 71.9% downside ($9.06 - $32.23) / $32.23 = -71.9% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $13.54 58.0% downside ($13.54 - $32.23) / $32.23 = -58.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 22.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $9.06 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions