CBT - Cabot Corp.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$94.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$100.00
LOW:
$90.00
MEDIAN:
$92.00
CONSENSUS:
$94.00
UPSIDE:
12.37%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (6% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
12.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
2.6%
vs our 5.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $109.91 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$94.00
Analyst Range
$90.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
17%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions