Cabot Corp. logo CBT - Cabot Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $90.00
MEDIAN: $92.00
CONSENSUS: $94.00
UPSIDE: 12.37%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 23.9% below fair value
Current Price $83.65
Bear Case $90.21 7.8% upside ($90.21 - $83.65) / $83.65 = 7.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $109.91 31.4% upside ($109.91 - $83.65) / $83.65 = 31.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $127.17 52.0% upside ($127.17 - $83.65) / $83.65 = 52.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 12.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 2.6% vs our 5.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $109.91 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $94.00
Analyst Range $90.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 17%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions