Cabot Corp. logo CBT - Cabot Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $90.00
MEDIAN: $92.00
CONSENSUS: $94.00
UPSIDE: 25.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.6% below fair value
Current Price $75.15
Bear Case $90.19 20.0% upside ($90.19 - $75.15) / $75.15 = 20.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $109.89 46.2% upside ($109.89 - $75.15) / $75.15 = 46.2% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $127.15 69.2% upside ($127.15 - $75.15) / $75.15 = 69.2% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 11.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 1.4% vs our 5.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $109.89 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $94.00
Analyst Range $90.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 17%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions