CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$317.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$356.00
LOW:
$258.00
MEDIAN:
$320.00
CONSENSUS:
$317.00
UPSIDE:
2.11%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
159.3%
6.6%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (159.3%) vs. cost of equity (6.6%)
Implied Market Multiple
47.05x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 159.3% vs. 6.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 4.00x on $6.60 tangible book, implying $156.86 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$317.00
Analyst Range
$258.00 – $356.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
51%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $317.00 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 51% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly