CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. logo CBL - CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 12
SELL 9
STRONG
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.6% below fair value
Current Price $48.51
Bear Case $120.34 148.1% upside ($120.34 - $48.51) / $48.51 = 148.1% $10.20 FFO × 16x
Fair Value $149.77 208.7% upside ($149.77 - $48.51) / $48.51 = 208.7% $10.20 FFO × 20x
Bull Case $179.20 269.4% upside ($179.20 - $48.51) / $48.51 = 269.4% $10.20 FFO × 23x

Adjust Assumptions

19.5x
10.2$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($10.20) × retail P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 4.8x

Plain-Language Summary

At $10.20 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $149.77 per share. Dividend yield: 3.9%. DDM cross-check: $34.94.

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $34.94 (77% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify