CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. logo CBL - CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
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BUY 2
HOLD 12
SELL 9
STRONG
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 61.7% below fair value
Current Price $54.89
Bear Case $115.17 109.8% upside ($115.17 - $54.89) / $54.89 = 109.8% $9.73 FFO × 16x
Fair Value $143.31 161.1% upside ($143.31 - $54.89) / $54.89 = 161.1% $9.73 FFO × 20x
Bull Case $171.45 212.4% upside ($171.45 - $54.89) / $54.89 = 212.4% $9.73 FFO × 23x

Adjust Assumptions

19.5x
9.73$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($9.73) × retail P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 5.6x

Plain-Language Summary

At $9.73 FFO/share with a 20x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $143.31 per share. Dividend yield: 3.4%. DDM cross-check: $34.94.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $34.94 (76% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify