AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes CAVA Group, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag CAVA as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is CAVA Group, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for CAVA is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value CAVA?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from CAVA's most recent reported fundamentals.

CAVA - CAVA Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $93.18 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 8.9% below fair value

Current Price $65.00

Bear Case $34.93 46.3% downside ($34.93 - $65.00) / $65.00 = -46.3% 14% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Fair Value $71.34 9.8% upside ($71.34 - $65.00) / $65.00 = 9.8% 24% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Bull Case $121.00 86.1% upside ($121.00 - $65.00) / $65.00 = 86.1% 31% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

23.9%

Discount Rate (WACC)

12.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (24% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%

Implied Market Multiple 53.1x

Market is pricing in (growth) 24.1% vs our 23.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $93.18 from 25 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $71.34 per share.

Warnings

ℹ This company spends 13% of revenue on big investments like data centers and infrastructure, mostly for growth. We adjusted the cash flow figure to only subtract the upkeep costs, giving a clearer picture of true profitability.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $93.18 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions