CASS - Cass Information Systems, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$58.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$61.00
LOW:
$56.00
MEDIAN:
$58.50
CONSENSUS:
$58.50
UPSIDE:
5.02%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
2.61$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.61, the base-case value is $39.15 per share. DDM cross-check: $24.84.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $24.84 (below our primary estimate by 37%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples