Cars.com Inc. logo CARS - Cars.com Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $13.00
LOW: $13.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $13.00
UPSIDE: 33.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 75% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.8% below fair value
Current Price $9.74
Bear Case $16.73 71.8% upside ($16.73 - $9.74) / $9.74 = 71.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $16.73 71.8% upside ($16.73 - $9.74) / $9.74 = 71.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $18.27 87.6% upside ($18.27 - $9.74) / $9.74 = 87.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 28%
Implied Market Multiple 7.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.00 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $16.73 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 156% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $13.00 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 38% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions