CARS - Cars.com Inc.
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$18.88
DETAILS
HIGH:
$25.00
LOW:
$13.00
MEDIAN:
$18.75
CONSENSUS:
$18.88
UPSIDE:
59.93%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
75% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
3.0%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (3% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
28%
Implied Market Multiple
6.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-4.9%
vs our 3.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $25.28 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$18.88
Analyst Range
$13.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
34%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 156% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $18.88 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 34% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions