CARS - Cars.com Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$11.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$11.50
LOW:
$11.50
MEDIAN:
$11.50
CONSENSUS:
$11.50
UPSIDE:
20.80%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
75% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
3.0%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (3% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
28%
Implied Market Multiple
5.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-6.9%
vs our 3.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $25.28 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$11.50
Analyst Range
$11.50 – $11.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
120%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 156% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $11.50 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 120% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions