CAH - Cardinal Health, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$273.22
DETAILS
HIGH:
$292.00
LOW:
$250.00
MEDIAN:
$275.00
CONSENSUS:
$273.22
UPSIDE:
16.49%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
7.23$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
32.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.23, the base-case value is $115.88 per share. DDM cross-check: $29.62.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (33 analysts)
$273.22
Analyst Range
$250.00 – $292.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
58%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $29.62 (below our primary estimate by 74%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $273.22 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples