Cadence Bank logo CADE - Cadence Bank

Inactive Ticker CADE is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 6
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $47.00
LOW: $30.00
MEDIAN: $40.00
CONSENSUS: $39.75
DOWNSIDE: 5.60%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 2.5% above fair value
Current Price $42.11
Bear Case $28.77 31.7% downside ($28.77 - $42.11) / $42.11 = -31.7% ROTCE 8.9% → 0.89x TBV
Fair Value $41.10 2.4% downside ($41.10 - $42.11) / $42.11 = -2.4% ROTCE 11.9% → 1.42x TBV
Bull Case $53.43 26.9% upside ($53.43 - $42.11) / $42.11 = 26.9% ROTCE 13.6% → 1.74x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

11.9%
9.5%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.9%) vs. cost of equity (9.5%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.71x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $39.75 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $41.10 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $65.26 (57% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly