CADE - Cadence Bank
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$39.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$47.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$40.00
CONSENSUS:
$39.75
DOWNSIDE:
5.60%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
11.9%
9.5%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (11.9%) vs. cost of equity (9.5%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.71x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 11.9% vs. 9.5% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.42x on $24.63 tangible book, implying $41.55 per share. DDM cross-check: $65.26.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (20 analysts)
$39.75
Analyst Range
$30.00 – $47.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
5%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $65.26 (57% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly