CACI - CACI International Inc
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$682.40
DETAILS
HIGH:
$800.00
LOW:
$510.00
MEDIAN:
$765.00
CONSENSUS:
$682.40
UPSIDE:
40.28%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
32.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.3%
vs our 10.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $682.40 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $381.40 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $682.40 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 59% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions