Kanzhun Limited logo BZ - Kanzhun Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $17.00
UPSIDE: 2.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.5% below fair value
Current Price $16.55
Bear Case $33.21 100.6% upside ($33.21 - $16.55) / $16.55 = 100.6% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $50.89 207.5% upside ($50.89 - $16.55) / $16.55 = 207.5% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $71.51 332.1% upside ($71.51 - $16.55) / $16.55 = 332.1% 22% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 8.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) -3.4% vs our 16.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $50.89 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $17.00
Analyst Range $12.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 199%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 33% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $17.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 199% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1498 USD per CNY.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions