BZ - Kanzhun Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$17.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$12.00
MEDIAN:
$19.00
CONSENSUS:
$17.00
UPSIDE:
2.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
16.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (17% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
44%
Implied Market Multiple
8.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-3.4%
vs our 16.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $50.89 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (9 analysts)
$17.00
Analyst Range
$12.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
199%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 33% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $17.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 199% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1498 USD per CNY.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions