BXP, Inc. logo BXP - BXP, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 25
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $72.18 DETAILS
HIGH: $88.00
LOW: $61.00
MEDIAN: $70.00
CONSENSUS: $72.18
UPSIDE: 22.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 29.3% below fair value
Current Price $59.05
Bear Case $65.49 10.9% upside ($65.49 - $59.05) / $59.05 = 10.9% $7.45 FFO × 10x
Fair Value $83.49 41.4% upside ($83.49 - $59.05) / $59.05 = 41.4% $7.45 FFO × 13x
Bull Case $101.50 71.9% upside ($101.50 - $59.05) / $59.05 = 71.9% $7.45 FFO × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

13.0x
7.45$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($7.45) × office P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 7.9x

Plain-Language Summary

At $7.45 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $83.49 per share. Dividend yield: 4.7%. DDM cross-check: $52.18.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (43 analysts) $72.18
Analyst Range $61.00 – $88.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 16%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $52.18 (38% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify