BXP - BXP, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$72.18
DETAILS
HIGH:
$88.00
LOW:
$61.00
MEDIAN:
$70.00
CONSENSUS:
$72.18
UPSIDE:
22.24%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
13.0x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($7.45) × office P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
7.9x
Plain-Language Summary
At $7.45 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $83.49 per share. Dividend yield: 4.7%. DDM cross-check: $52.18.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (43 analysts)
$72.18
Analyst Range
$61.00 – $88.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
16%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $52.18 (38% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify