BXP, Inc. logo BXP - BXP, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 25
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $86.00
LOW: $61.00
MEDIAN: $69.00
CONSENSUS: $70.80
UPSIDE: 0.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Office REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 15.5% below fair value
Current Price $70.30
Bear Case $65.26 7.2% downside ($65.26 - $70.30) / $70.30 = -7.2% $7.42 FFO × 10x
Fair Value $83.19 18.3% upside ($83.19 - $70.30) / $70.30 = 18.3% $7.42 FFO × 13x
Bull Case $101.12 43.8% upside ($101.12 - $70.30) / $70.30 = 43.8% $7.42 FFO × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

13.0x
7.42$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($7.42) × office P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 9.5x

Plain-Language Summary

At $7.42 FFO/share with a 13x office REIT multiple, the base-case value is $83.19 per share. Dividend yield: 4.0%. DDM cross-check: $52.18.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (43 analysts) $70.80
Analyst Range $61.00 – $86.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 18%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $52.18 (37% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify