BXC - BlueLinx Holdings Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$84.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$84.00
LOW:
$84.00
MEDIAN:
$84.00
CONSENSUS:
$84.00
UPSIDE:
1.18%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
10.03$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
8.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $10.03, the base-case value is $150.44 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$84.00
Analyst Range
$84.00 – $84.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
79%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 36239%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 1812% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $84.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 79% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples