BrainsWay Ltd. logo BWAY - BrainsWay Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $19.50
CONSENSUS: $19.50
UPSIDE: 60.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 54.7% below fair value
Current Price $12.12
Bear Case $14.31 18.1% upside ($14.31 - $12.12) / $12.12 = 18.1% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $26.72 120.6% upside ($26.72 - $12.12) / $12.12 = 120.6% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $43.27 257.2% upside ($43.27 - $12.12) / $12.12 = 257.2% 29% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

22.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (23% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 48%
Implied Market Multiple 23.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.0% vs our 22.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 23% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $26.72 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $19.50
Analyst Range $19.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 37%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $19.50 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 37% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions