Bioventus Inc. logo BVS - Bioventus Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $13.00
LOW: $13.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $13.00
UPSIDE: 41.30%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.4% below fair value
Current Price $9.20
Bear Case $12.56 36.5% upside ($12.56 - $9.20) / $9.20 = 36.5% $0.91 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $15.70 70.7% upside ($15.70 - $9.20) / $9.20 = 70.7% $0.91 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $18.85 104.9% upside ($18.85 - $9.20) / $9.20 = 104.9% $0.91 × 22x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.1x
0.91$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $15.70 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 175%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $13.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 26% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples