Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. logo BVN - Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 5
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $42.00
MEDIAN: $43.50
CONSENSUS: $43.50
UPSIDE: 30.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.1% above fair value
Current Price $33.46
Bear Case $22.07 34.0% downside ($22.07 - $33.46) / $33.46 = -34.0% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $33.43 0.1% downside ($33.43 - $33.46) / $33.46 = -0.1% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $45.63 36.4% upside ($45.63 - $33.46) / $33.46 = 36.4% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 30.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $43.50 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $33.43 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $43.50 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 29% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions