BVN - Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$39.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$40.00
LOW:
$39.00
MEDIAN:
$39.50
CONSENSUS:
$39.50
UPSIDE:
41.48%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
16.6%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (17% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
44%
Implied Market Multiple
21.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
10.0%
vs our 16.6% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $46.19 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$39.50
Analyst Range
$39.00 – $40.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
17%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions