Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. logo BVN - Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 5
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $37.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $40.00
LOW: $34.50
MEDIAN: $37.25
CONSENSUS: $37.25
UPSIDE: 22.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.8% below fair value
Current Price $30.38
Bear Case $24.09 20.7% downside ($24.09 - $30.38) / $30.38 = -20.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $41.51 36.6% upside ($41.51 - $30.38) / $30.38 = 36.6% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $62.26 104.9% upside ($62.26 - $30.38) / $30.38 = 104.9% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 27.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.3% vs our 17.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $37.25 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $41.51 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions