Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. logo BVN - Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $40.00
LOW: $39.00
MEDIAN: $39.50
CONSENSUS: $39.50
UPSIDE: 41.48%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 39.6% below fair value
Current Price $27.92
Bear Case $27.80 0.4% downside ($27.80 - $27.92) / $27.92 = -0.4% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $46.19 65.4% upside ($46.19 - $27.92) / $27.92 = 65.4% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $67.48 141.7% upside ($67.48 - $27.92) / $27.92 = 141.7% 22% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 21.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.0% vs our 16.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $46.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $39.50
Analyst Range $39.00 – $40.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 17%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions