Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. logo BVN - Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 5
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $37.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $40.00
LOW: $34.50
MEDIAN: $37.25
CONSENSUS: $37.25
UPSIDE: 20.51%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 17.4% below fair value
Current Price $30.91
Bear Case $22.85 26.1% downside ($22.85 - $30.91) / $30.91 = -26.1% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $37.43 21.1% upside ($37.43 - $30.91) / $30.91 = 21.1% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $54.10 75.0% upside ($54.10 - $30.91) / $30.91 = 75.0% 21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 28.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.5% vs our 16.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $37.25 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $37.43 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions